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Historical Insights vs Forecasting

Historical Insights vs Forecasting

How is one to make sense of the disparate Wall Street market forecasts?  At the top end of the range, BMO is predicting a 2021 ending value for the S&P 500 of 4800 – an over 9% increase from today’s price.  In contrast, Duetsche Bank’s forecast for the S&P 500...
Checking in on Market Valuation

Checking in on Market Valuation

JP Morgan’s latest quarterly Guide to the Markets provides some excellent charts highlighting where the stock market stands across several different valuation measures. The table in the chart below summarizes several of these measures and the conclusion is clear, the...
Labor & Productivity

Labor & Productivity

A fascinating chart has been making its way through the Twitter financial sphere this past week that shows the total number of employees to total revenues of the S&P 500 throughout time. In 1986, it took 8 employees to generate $1 million in revenue. Today, the...
The Great Inflation Debate

The Great Inflation Debate

During 2021 there has been a renewed focus on inflation by the media, economists, investors, politicians and the general public alike. Some are concerned that all the government stimulus spending and the Fed’s policy stance of low rates and a more relaxed view of...